Kung HEI Fat Choi

Research

Weekly Review

HSI Weekly Movement
Weekly Market Statistics

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Review & Outlook of Market Performances

The Hang Seng Index fell 1.3% week-on-week ahead of the long weekend. The local market suffered from a 4% drop on Monday following the release of strong growth figures in the U.S. last week which raised fear of a higher-than-expected interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. However, the fall prompted bargain-hunters to enter the market and subsequent rebound of the Dow provided support for the local bourse. The finance sector was under pressure after a 0.25% rate hike in the U.S. last night, but the Bank of East Asia broke the trend with a 3.89% gain on improved prospects for future growth. Internet and high-technology continued to be the main investment theme of the market. Companies which announced investments, or rumoured to be investing in technology-related projects surged. China Resources rallied 3.29% on reports of the company¡¦s plan to invest in hi-tech projects. Similarly, CITIC Pacific soared 16.56% on rumours that it would form a joint venture with Lucent Technologies to build a fibre-optics network in the mainland. TVB topped the gainers¡¦ list as investors chased after media stocks on expectations that they might become targets for mergers or acquisitions. The sector was being re-rated after the AOL-Time Warner merger and reports which suggested that Star TV might seek a listing. Second and third liner stocks were actively traded during the week as investors looked for potential shell companies for foreign firms seeking back-door listings in Hong Kong.

Several pieces of U.S. economic data are scheduled to be announced before the end of the week. The employment report is the most important one and should provide indication on whether the Federal Reserve will need larger interest rate increase to counter inflationary pressure in the next FOMC meeting in March. On the local front, blue chips are expected to remain stable ahead of the upcoming reporting season with HSBC and Hang Seng Bank scheduled to announce their 1999 final results at the end of February. However, the telecommunications sector and selected big-cap counters may see volatile trading if they announce more technology tie-ups and investments. We expect the market to be technology-news driven and the HSI to trade between 15,500 and 16,200 in the coming week.

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US & Regional Markets Weekly Update

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Note: The Dow Jones figure was market closed on 2/2/2000

Results Summary

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Net interest income

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(HK$m)

Non-interest income

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(HK$m)

Operating profit before provisions

(HK$m)

Charges of bad and doubtful debts

(HK$m)

Disposal gain of investments in associates

(HK$m)

Attributable profit

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(HK$m)

EPS

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(HK$)

Final DPS

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(HK$)

The Bank of East Asia [0023] - final

3,504.5

(+5.3%)

1,065

(+18.9%)

2,766.8

(+9.7%)

2,215.2

(+51.1%)

1,133.3

(+1565%)

1,488.9

(+81.6%)

1.08

(+80%)

0.38

(+171%)

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Summary of Hong Kong News

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Major Corporate News

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New Issue

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Summary of US News

Indicator

Change/Index

Comments

Personal Income - December

­ 0.3% m-o-m

For 1999, income grew 5.9% while spending rose 6.9%, the strongest gain since 1989

Personal Spending - December

­ 0.8% m-o-m

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New Home Sales - December

­ 4.5% m-o-m

For 1999, home sales rose 2% to a record 904,000 units from 886,000 units in 1998.

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Forthcoming Important Announcements

8th February, 2000

US

:-

Productivity & Cost - 4Q99

Cisco Systems - 4Q

9th February, 2000

US

:-

Wholesale Inventories - December

Goodyear Tire & Rubber - 4Q

10th February, 2000

US

:-

Dell - 4Q

MCI Worldcom - 4Q

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Disclaimant

This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. Neither this document nor its contents shall be constructed as an offer, invitation, advertisement, inducement or representation of any kind or form whatsoever. The information is based upon information which we consider reliable, but accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. East Asia Securities Company Limited and other associated with it may have positions in the securities of the company or companies mentioned herein